New Jersey and Florida account for almost half of the 50 U.S. counties whose housing markets are most vulnerable to the economic effects of the coronavirus, an Attom Data Solutions report said.
Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on the percentage of housing units receiving a foreclosure notice in the fourth quarter, the number of underwater properties in each county and the percentage of local wages required to pay for major homeownership expenses.
Thirty-six of the top 50 most vulnerable counties had median home prices in the $160,000-to-$300,000 range, the report noted.
Of the 10 most vulnerable counties, six are in New Jersey, including Sussex at No. 1 and Warren at No. 2.
"It looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas," Todd Teta, Attom's chief product officer, said in a press release. "As we head into the spring home buying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be."
Among the New Jersey counties that would be most affected, five are in the New York metropolitan area: Bergen, Essex, Passaic, Middlesex and Union. However, of the four counties in New York that Attom considered to be most vulnerable, only Rockland was in proximity to New York City.
Aaron Parker joined the MJ Insurance team in 2017 as a client executive in the Risk Management + Commercial Insurance department and has since been promoted to Vice President, Client Experience. A native of the industry, Aaron brings over a decade of extensive experience in enterprise risk management, claims, loss control and safety programs. Prior to joining MJ, Aaron worked as the senior insurance and risk manager for the State of Texas Office of Risk Management where he was responsible for leading the Insurance Services department and served as a consultant to more than 100 State of Texas government agencies and institutions of higher education.
At MJ, Aaron is responsible for the stewardship and strategic development of the MJ value proposition and delivering on all aspects influencing the overall client experience. Aaron acts as the internal conduit between the analytics, risk services, risk transfer and client advocacy teams to ensure seamless execution of client strategy while delivering exceptional customer service to clients.
Allison Wolf is DesignOps lead with Lumin Digital. During the past 22 plus years, Allison's DesignOps mindset has allowed her to define and lead multidisciplinary design projects, champion ADA compliance and build design systems at various companies while helping scale design teams by establishing E2E processes, product launch practices and crossfunctional team collaborations.
Neale Mahoney is a professor of economics at Stanford University and a George P. Shultz fellow at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research. An expert on consumer financial markets, Mahoney served on the White House National Economic Council in 2022-2023.
For New York City proper, all five boroughs were in the middle of the list: Staten Island was ranked 161, Queens was 271, Manhattan at 312, Brooklyn at 320 and the Bronx was 327.
Most of the Florida counties considered at risk are in the northern and central portions of the state. But Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, is also on that list.
There were four counties in the metro Chicago area on the list were Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will in Illinois. Cook County, which includes Chicago proper, is ranked 53rd most vulnerable.
Meanwhile, the only California county on the 50 most vulnerable list is Shasta. Los Angeles County was No. 276. The Bay Area counties were also in the bottom half of the list.
At the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the counties where the housing market is least vulnerable to the coronavirus are in Texas. Seven are in Wisconsin and there are five in Colorado.
King County in Washington, where Seattle is located, was the 20th least vulnerable county according to Attom.
