New Jersey and Florida account for almost half of the 50 U.S. counties whose housing markets are most vulnerable to the economic effects of the coronavirus, an Attom Data Solutions report said.
Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on the percentage of housing units receiving a foreclosure notice in the fourth quarter, the number of underwater properties in each county and the percentage of local wages required to pay for major homeownership expenses.
Thirty-six of the top 50 most vulnerable counties had median home prices in the $160,000-to-$300,000 range, the report noted.
Of the 10 most vulnerable counties, six are in New Jersey, including Sussex at No. 1 and Warren at No. 2.
"It looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas," Todd Teta, Attom's chief product officer, said in a press release. "As we head into the spring home buying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be."
Among the New Jersey counties that would be most affected, five are in the New York metropolitan area: Bergen, Essex, Passaic, Middlesex and Union. However, of the four counties in New York that Attom considered to be most vulnerable, only Rockland was in proximity to New York City.
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Tim Long is a Managing Director in Financial Services. He has deep knowledge of financial services regulation with hands on experience in all bank supervision and policy related matters. He retired from the OCC after a 31 year career in which he oversaw virtually all of the agencys bank supervision and policy units. He has extensive experience in large and complex bank supervision, regional financial institutions and community banking. In his most recent role with the OCC, Tim served as Senior Deputy Comptroller for Bank Supervision Policy and Chief National Bank Examiner. He was a key advisor to the Comptroller and a member of the OCCs Executive Committee. Tim was also a key advisor to the U.S. Department of the Treasury during the recent financial crisis. He served as the Regulatory Council chair of the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) Capital Purchase Program and was a member of the Financial Stability Oversight Council Deputies Committee created under the Dodd-Frank Act. Earlier in his tenure with the OCC, Tim also held the positions of Senior Deputy Comptroller for Midsize/Community Bank Supervision and Deputy Comptroller for Large Bank Supervision, and was the examiner-in-charge of several large, complex national banks.
Don Powell is the former chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and a longtime bank CEO.
For New York City proper, all five boroughs were in the middle of the list: Staten Island was ranked 161, Queens was 271, Manhattan at 312, Brooklyn at 320 and the Bronx was 327.
Most of the Florida counties considered at risk are in the northern and central portions of the state. But Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, is also on that list.
There were four counties in the metro Chicago area on the list were Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will in Illinois. Cook County, which includes Chicago proper, is ranked 53rd most vulnerable.
Meanwhile, the only California county on the 50 most vulnerable list is Shasta. Los Angeles County was No. 276. The Bay Area counties were also in the bottom half of the list.
At the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the counties where the housing market is least vulnerable to the coronavirus are in Texas. Seven are in Wisconsin and there are five in Colorado.
King County in Washington, where Seattle is located, was the 20th least vulnerable county according to Attom.
