New Jersey and Florida account for almost half of the 50 U.S. counties whose housing markets are most vulnerable to the economic effects of the coronavirus, an Attom Data Solutions report said.
Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on the percentage of housing units receiving a foreclosure notice in the fourth quarter, the number of underwater properties in each county and the percentage of local wages required to pay for major homeownership expenses.
Thirty-six of the top 50 most vulnerable counties had median home prices in the $160,000-to-$300,000 range, the report noted.
Of the 10 most vulnerable counties, six are in New Jersey, including Sussex at No. 1 and Warren at No. 2.
"It looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas," Todd Teta, Attom's chief product officer, said in a press release. "As we head into the spring home buying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be."
Among the New Jersey counties that would be most affected, five are in the New York metropolitan area: Bergen, Essex, Passaic, Middlesex and Union. However, of the four counties in New York that Attom considered to be most vulnerable, only Rockland was in proximity to New York City.
Ravi has over 13 years of actuarial experience in the property and casualty insurance industry. Working in WTW's Insurance, Consulting, and Technology practice as an Associate Director, Ravi works with clients to provide industry leading insights and solutions. Throughout his tenure, he has worked as an effective leader and business partner on both the carrier and consulting side. Ravi's experience includes exposure to a vast array disciplines including analytics, ratemaking, reserving, capital management, and enterprise risk management.
In addition to his professional responsibilities, Ravi actively volunteers with the Casualty Actuarial Society.
Ravi holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Applied Mathematics from Kettering University. He is also a Fellow of the Casualty Actuarial Society and a Member of the American Academy of Actuaries.
Patrick Walsh, CPA, MBA, is the managing partner and CEO of Withum, an advisory, tax and accounting firm with 2,200 team members across the U.S. and internationally. He served on the firm's management committee for six years, leading up to his role as managing partner. Walsh led the firm's national tax practice strategy for five years and oversaw the corporate tax services practice. He is also the executive sponsor for Withum's expansion overseas in opening and growing its India office. Walsh is actively involved in the firm's alliance with HLB International and is committed to leading an inclusive and diverse place of work as seen in his CEO Statement on Inclusion and Diversity.
For New York City proper, all five boroughs were in the middle of the list: Staten Island was ranked 161, Queens was 271, Manhattan at 312, Brooklyn at 320 and the Bronx was 327.
Most of the Florida counties considered at risk are in the northern and central portions of the state. But Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, is also on that list.
There were four counties in the metro Chicago area on the list were Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will in Illinois. Cook County, which includes Chicago proper, is ranked 53rd most vulnerable.
Meanwhile, the only California county on the 50 most vulnerable list is Shasta. Los Angeles County was No. 276. The Bay Area counties were also in the bottom half of the list.
At the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the counties where the housing market is least vulnerable to the coronavirus are in Texas. Seven are in Wisconsin and there are five in Colorado.
King County in Washington, where Seattle is located, was the 20th least vulnerable county according to Attom.
