New Jersey and Florida account for almost half of the 50 U.S. counties whose housing markets are most vulnerable to the economic effects of the coronavirus, an Attom Data Solutions report said.
Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on the percentage of housing units receiving a foreclosure notice in the fourth quarter, the number of underwater properties in each county and the percentage of local wages required to pay for major homeownership expenses.
Thirty-six of the top 50 most vulnerable counties had median home prices in the $160,000-to-$300,000 range, the report noted.
Of the 10 most vulnerable counties, six are in New Jersey, including Sussex at No. 1 and Warren at No. 2.
"It looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas," Todd Teta, Attom's chief product officer, said in a press release. "As we head into the spring home buying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be."
Among the New Jersey counties that would be most affected, five are in the New York metropolitan area: Bergen, Essex, Passaic, Middlesex and Union. However, of the four counties in New York that Attom considered to be most vulnerable, only Rockland was in proximity to New York City.
Steven Schwartz is VP of Insurance Strategy and Underwriting at Safe Security. Previously, he was CRO at Periculus, and prior, was VP Strategy and Insurance Practice at Cytegic. Steven serves on the Advisory Board at PACE University's Seidenberg School for Computer Science and Information Security, and is a co-founder of both The Data Union and Personal Data Week, introducing the topic of "personal data" and its implications for society, industry, and regulation such as GDPR, CCPA, NYDFS and more to more than 30k global members. He was nominated to NYC's 2017 "33 Under 33" and currently holds his Investment Advisor License (Series 65) and Property, Casualty, Health and Life Insurance licenses.
Andrew Hersh is the CEO at Sigma7, a global risk information and services platform. He is an expert in the fields of risk management and national security and has contributed to the evolution of risk management in corporations and governments. Andrew has served as a Senior Fellow at Auburn's McCrary Institute and George Washington University's Center for Cyber and Homeland Security. He has served as a Member of the Infrastructure Advisory Committee for the State of New Jersey Office of Homeland Security & Preparedness and is a Member of the Cyber & Technology Council at Business Executives for National Security.
Beth Robertson is a Managing Director of Keynova Group, a principal competitive intelligence source for digital financial services firms that publishes semi-annual Online and Mobile Insurance Scorecards. With more than 30 years of experience, Beth has held leadership roles as a consultant and as a senior-level industry analyst with expertise in digital channels, payments and insurance.
For New York City proper, all five boroughs were in the middle of the list: Staten Island was ranked 161, Queens was 271, Manhattan at 312, Brooklyn at 320 and the Bronx was 327.
Most of the Florida counties considered at risk are in the northern and central portions of the state. But Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, is also on that list.
There were four counties in the metro Chicago area on the list were Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will in Illinois. Cook County, which includes Chicago proper, is ranked 53rd most vulnerable.
Meanwhile, the only California county on the 50 most vulnerable list is Shasta. Los Angeles County was No. 276. The Bay Area counties were also in the bottom half of the list.
At the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the counties where the housing market is least vulnerable to the coronavirus are in Texas. Seven are in Wisconsin and there are five in Colorado.
King County in Washington, where Seattle is located, was the 20th least vulnerable county according to Attom.
