New Jersey and Florida account for almost half of the 50 U.S. counties whose housing markets are most vulnerable to the economic effects of the coronavirus, an Attom Data Solutions report said.
Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on the percentage of housing units receiving a foreclosure notice in the fourth quarter, the number of underwater properties in each county and the percentage of local wages required to pay for major homeownership expenses.
Thirty-six of the top 50 most vulnerable counties had median home prices in the $160,000-to-$300,000 range, the report noted.
Of the 10 most vulnerable counties, six are in New Jersey, including Sussex at No. 1 and Warren at No. 2.
"It looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas," Todd Teta, Attom's chief product officer, said in a press release. "As we head into the spring home buying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be."
Among the New Jersey counties that would be most affected, five are in the New York metropolitan area: Bergen, Essex, Passaic, Middlesex and Union. However, of the four counties in New York that Attom considered to be most vulnerable, only Rockland was in proximity to New York City.
Paul Mang is Chief Innovation Officer at Guidewire, a provider of predictive analytics and business intelligence solutions for the P&C insurance industry. He is the former Global CEO of Analytics at Aon plc.
André is responsible for the strategy and execution of direct venture and fund investment, in addition to establishing partnerships in the reinsurance business space that generate accretive value for RGA.
With an insurance industry career spanning over 20 years, André has spent the last 17 with RGA in various roles from marketing, business and product development, venture investment and senior leadership. Since first joining RGA in South Africa in 2005, he has worked in local, regional, and international positions, most recently transitioning to venture investments in 2015. His team currently oversees a portfolio of more than 35 venture and 8 fund investments spanning the globe.
André holds a post graduate degree in Actuarial Science from the University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, and Fellowships with the Institute of Actuaries (FIA), the Actuarial Society of South Africa (FASSA) and the New Zealand Society of Actuaries, while being an affiliate member of the Actuaries Institute of Australia.
He regularly presents at industry and professional conferences and is an active thought leader on many current matters affecting life and health insurance industry.
Ted Moynihan is partner and global head of financial services at Oliver Wyman.
For New York City proper, all five boroughs were in the middle of the list: Staten Island was ranked 161, Queens was 271, Manhattan at 312, Brooklyn at 320 and the Bronx was 327.
Most of the Florida counties considered at risk are in the northern and central portions of the state. But Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, is also on that list.
There were four counties in the metro Chicago area on the list were Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will in Illinois. Cook County, which includes Chicago proper, is ranked 53rd most vulnerable.
Meanwhile, the only California county on the 50 most vulnerable list is Shasta. Los Angeles County was No. 276. The Bay Area counties were also in the bottom half of the list.
At the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the counties where the housing market is least vulnerable to the coronavirus are in Texas. Seven are in Wisconsin and there are five in Colorado.
King County in Washington, where Seattle is located, was the 20th least vulnerable county according to Attom.
