New Jersey and Florida account for almost half of the 50 U.S. counties whose housing markets are most vulnerable to the economic effects of the coronavirus, an Attom Data Solutions report said.
Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on the percentage of housing units receiving a foreclosure notice in the fourth quarter, the number of underwater properties in each county and the percentage of local wages required to pay for major homeownership expenses.
Thirty-six of the top 50 most vulnerable counties had median home prices in the $160,000-to-$300,000 range, the report noted.
Of the 10 most vulnerable counties, six are in New Jersey, including Sussex at No. 1 and Warren at No. 2.
"It looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas," Todd Teta, Attom's chief product officer, said in a press release. "As we head into the spring home buying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be."
Among the New Jersey counties that would be most affected, five are in the New York metropolitan area: Bergen, Essex, Passaic, Middlesex and Union. However, of the four counties in New York that Attom considered to be most vulnerable, only Rockland was in proximity to New York City.
Jonathan Mondillo, Head of Municipals, abrdn
Amar Patel is director of cost segregation at KBKG. Previously, he spent 15 years at a Big Four accounting firm and one year at Centiv LLC, focusing on various specialty tax products including cost recovery solutions and research and development tax credits. In the past 16 years of practice, he has specialized in cost segregation and large fixed asset depreciation reviews for purposes of identifying federal, state and property tax benefits.
Serhat Guven is Willis Towers Watson’s Insurance Consulting & Technology Global Leader for P&C Pricing, Product, Claims, and Underwriting propostion. He and his team are responsible for the delivery of consulting services and technology solutions that are uniquely designed to help insurers respond to significant industry trends; as well as provide carriers support in core areas that are fundamental for effective business management and profitability.
Prior to his current role, Serhat Guven was Willis Towers Watson’s Regional Line of Business Leader for the Americas. In this capacity he was responsible for go to market strategy and development of the full range of consulting services and software solutions to insurance companies. Before joining Willis Towers Watson, Serhat spent nine years in a variety of positions at United Services Automobile Association (USAA), where he was the technical expert on multivariate pricing, demand modeling, classification and tiering analysis, territorial ratemaking, and data management.
Serhat’s primary area of expertise is developing advanced analytics solutions for a wide variety of insurance applications.
For New York City proper, all five boroughs were in the middle of the list: Staten Island was ranked 161, Queens was 271, Manhattan at 312, Brooklyn at 320 and the Bronx was 327.
Most of the Florida counties considered at risk are in the northern and central portions of the state. But Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, is also on that list.
There were four counties in the metro Chicago area on the list were Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will in Illinois. Cook County, which includes Chicago proper, is ranked 53rd most vulnerable.
Meanwhile, the only California county on the 50 most vulnerable list is Shasta. Los Angeles County was No. 276. The Bay Area counties were also in the bottom half of the list.
At the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the counties where the housing market is least vulnerable to the coronavirus are in Texas. Seven are in Wisconsin and there are five in Colorado.
King County in Washington, where Seattle is located, was the 20th least vulnerable county according to Attom.
