New Jersey and Florida account for almost half of the 50 U.S. counties whose housing markets are most vulnerable to the economic effects of the coronavirus, an Attom Data Solutions report said.
Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on the percentage of housing units receiving a foreclosure notice in the fourth quarter, the number of underwater properties in each county and the percentage of local wages required to pay for major homeownership expenses.
Thirty-six of the top 50 most vulnerable counties had median home prices in the $160,000-to-$300,000 range, the report noted.
Of the 10 most vulnerable counties, six are in New Jersey, including Sussex at No. 1 and Warren at No. 2.
"It looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas," Todd Teta, Attom's chief product officer, said in a press release. "As we head into the spring home buying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be."
Among the New Jersey counties that would be most affected, five are in the New York metropolitan area: Bergen, Essex, Passaic, Middlesex and Union. However, of the four counties in New York that Attom considered to be most vulnerable, only Rockland was in proximity to New York City.
Hardy Manges is Head of Municipal Dealer Sales at MarketAxess, responsible for new business development and strategy, training, and relationship management with dealers in the institutional municipal market.� Mr. Manges joined MarketAxess in February 2016 from Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. where he was Co-Head of the Municipal Debt Capital Markets Group.� Prior to that he was Head of Municipal Sales and Trading at Mitsubishi Securities.� He has extensive experience in secondary municipal market liquidity and trading and has held a variety of senior positions in the municipal divisions of Alex. Brown & Sons, BankersTrust and Deutsche Bank.� Mr. Manges received an M.B.A. in Finance from Loyola University Maryland and a B.A. in Economics and Spanish from Denison University. �
John Gallagher is Head of Municipal Bonds and U.S. High Grade Product Management at MarketAxess, responsible for managing Municipal Bond and U.S. High Grade product development.�Mr. Gallagher joined MarketAxess in 2002 following the acquisition of TradingEdge, Inc. which he had joined in 2000 with the responsibility for high yield and distressed debt sales. At MarketAxess, Mr. Gallagher was initially responsible for electronic trading product development for U.S. high-grade, high yield, U.S. Agency and emerging market debt markets. Mr. Gallagher also piloted the development and sales for MarketAxess’ first inter-dealer trading platform, DealerAxess�, as well as the launch of the firm’s credit derivatives trading platform in 2005. Mr. Gallagher began his career as a fixed income and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) trader and has an established track record in MBS sales and trading with senior roles at various broker-dealers such as Merrill Lynch and Nomura. Mr. Gallagher received a B.A. in Economics with a Minor in German Language from Fairfield University.
For New York City proper, all five boroughs were in the middle of the list: Staten Island was ranked 161, Queens was 271, Manhattan at 312, Brooklyn at 320 and the Bronx was 327.
Most of the Florida counties considered at risk are in the northern and central portions of the state. But Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, is also on that list.
There were four counties in the metro Chicago area on the list were Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will in Illinois. Cook County, which includes Chicago proper, is ranked 53rd most vulnerable.
Meanwhile, the only California county on the 50 most vulnerable list is Shasta. Los Angeles County was No. 276. The Bay Area counties were also in the bottom half of the list.
At the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the counties where the housing market is least vulnerable to the coronavirus are in Texas. Seven are in Wisconsin and there are five in Colorado.
King County in Washington, where Seattle is located, was the 20th least vulnerable county according to Attom.
