Coronavirus expected to damage these housing markets most: report

Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on 4Q foreclosure notices, local wages and other factors.

New Jersey and Florida account for almost half of the 50 U.S. counties whose housing markets are most vulnerable to the economic effects of the coronavirus, an Attom Data Solutions report said.

Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on the percentage of housing units receiving a foreclosure notice in the fourth quarter, the number of underwater properties in each county and the percentage of local wages required to pay for major homeownership expenses.

NMN040720-Attom.png

Thirty-six of the top 50 most vulnerable counties had median home prices in the $160,000-to-$300,000 range, the report noted.

Of the 10 most vulnerable counties, six are in New Jersey, including Sussex at No. 1 and Warren at No. 2.

"It looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas," Todd Teta, Attom's chief product officer, said in a press release. "As we head into the spring home buying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be."

Among the New Jersey counties that would be most affected, five are in the New York metropolitan area: Bergen, Essex, Passaic, Middlesex and Union. However, of the four counties in New York that Attom considered to be most vulnerable, only Rockland was in proximity to New York City.

Advertisement
CORONAVIRUS IMPACT: ADDITIONAL COVERAGE
Patrick La Pine, LSCU

Patrick La Pine is president and CEO of the League of Southeastern Credit Unions, which serves CUs in Florida and Alabama.

Vinay Pai is an experienced technology executive with a track record of leading high-performing international organizations and driving technology transformation at scale and business growth globally. As the senior vice president of engineering at Bill.com, he leads the technology teams that develop and deliver the Bill.com product portfolio. Prior to joining Bill.com, he was SVP of engineering at First Data, where he led engineering for the Clover point-of-sale product line. Earlier, Pai held several leadership roles in the small business group during his eight years at Intuit, which he joined as part of the PayCycle acquisition. Most recently, as vice president for Intuit Developer Platform, he led the business segment responsible for the QuickBooks ecosystem of third-party applications and developers. He has also held engineering leadership roles at Cassatt, Sun Microsystems and Schlumberger, and founded a startup on the Apple platform that delivered three products.

Pay has MS electrical engineering, BS electrical engineering and BA computer science degrees from Rice University.

David Henka is CEO and President of ActiveRADAR, a company specializing in pharmacy cost reduction programs for employers, health plans, and trust funds.

For New York City proper, all five boroughs were in the middle of the list: Staten Island was ranked 161, Queens was 271, Manhattan at 312, Brooklyn at 320 and the Bronx was 327.

Most of the Florida counties considered at risk are in the northern and central portions of the state. But Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, is also on that list.

There were four counties in the metro Chicago area on the list were Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will in Illinois. Cook County, which includes Chicago proper, is ranked 53rd most vulnerable.

Meanwhile, the only California county on the 50 most vulnerable list is Shasta. Los Angeles County was No. 276. The Bay Area counties were also in the bottom half of the list.

At the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the counties where the housing market is least vulnerable to the coronavirus are in Texas. Seven are in Wisconsin and there are five in Colorado.

King County in Washington, where Seattle is located, was the 20th least vulnerable county according to Attom.