New Jersey and Florida account for almost half of the 50 U.S. counties whose housing markets are most vulnerable to the economic effects of the coronavirus, an Attom Data Solutions report said.
Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on the percentage of housing units receiving a foreclosure notice in the fourth quarter, the number of underwater properties in each county and the percentage of local wages required to pay for major homeownership expenses.
Thirty-six of the top 50 most vulnerable counties had median home prices in the $160,000-to-$300,000 range, the report noted.
Of the 10 most vulnerable counties, six are in New Jersey, including Sussex at No. 1 and Warren at No. 2.
"It looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas," Todd Teta, Attom's chief product officer, said in a press release. "As we head into the spring home buying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be."
Among the New Jersey counties that would be most affected, five are in the New York metropolitan area: Bergen, Essex, Passaic, Middlesex and Union. However, of the four counties in New York that Attom considered to be most vulnerable, only Rockland was in proximity to New York City.
Gregg Golson CPCU, ACS, AIC, AIM, AINS, AIS, API, CSM is a speaker, consultant, and strategy coach. He has 25+ years in claims leadership, marketing, and strategic planning in the insurance industry. At J.S. Held, he helped create over 1,700 sessions for 135,000+ attendees while leading verbal thought leadership. Gregg has handled over 12,000 claims, been on 39 tours of catastrophe duty, and handled over 275 large losses in 13 states. He is a frequent speaker at national events on soft skills, resilience, and adaptability. He is currently the Lead Strategist at UP2Now LLC.
Nic Johnson is the founder of ListWise.
Previously he spent 17 years at PIMCO, where he managed over $30 billion in commodity and real estate portfolios. He is the coauthor of "Intelligent Commodity Indexing," published by McGraw-Hill. Prior to entering financial services, he was a research fellow at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, where he researched new methods for autonomous navigation for future Mars missions.
Lei Zhang is the founder and has served as the chief executive officer and chairman of the board of Cheche Group (NASDAQ: CCG). Before that, he served as chief executive officer of CloudPower Technology Co., Ltd. from 2010 to 2014. He was a senior manager in the global technology service department at Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. from 2001 to 2006. Zhang received a bachelor's degree in computer science and technology from Wuhan University of Technology in 2001.
For New York City proper, all five boroughs were in the middle of the list: Staten Island was ranked 161, Queens was 271, Manhattan at 312, Brooklyn at 320 and the Bronx was 327.
Most of the Florida counties considered at risk are in the northern and central portions of the state. But Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, is also on that list.
There were four counties in the metro Chicago area on the list were Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will in Illinois. Cook County, which includes Chicago proper, is ranked 53rd most vulnerable.
Meanwhile, the only California county on the 50 most vulnerable list is Shasta. Los Angeles County was No. 276. The Bay Area counties were also in the bottom half of the list.
At the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the counties where the housing market is least vulnerable to the coronavirus are in Texas. Seven are in Wisconsin and there are five in Colorado.
King County in Washington, where Seattle is located, was the 20th least vulnerable county according to Attom.
