U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Dr. Alfred Sanders is the program leader for the CFO Forum at Genpact, where he oversees events, thought leadership and relationship management. As a partner in Genpact's CFO consulting practice, he spearheads design and execution of corporate and finance organizational, process improvement, and automation programs. A CPA with a doctorate in finance, he has presented at over 40 industry conferences and authored articles on finance, taxation and economics.
Evan Fitzpatrick is the CEO of Suralink. Previously, Fitzpatrick served as the chief product officer at AuditBoard, where he oversaw company strategy and product development. During his tenure at AuditBoard, he also served as SVP and general manager of the IT risk and compliance product line, overseeing product strategy and development as well as go-to-market and customer success. Prior to that, he spent 10 years at Bain Capital as an operating partner and executive, working with portfolio company management teams to drive transformational growth. Fitzpatrick has a Bachelor's of Science in Accounting from Brigham Young University.
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The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.