U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Heather Robison is a marketing manager, strategist and facilitator at Boomer Consulting Inc., where she works with accounting firm leaders to rethink how marketing and business development drive sustainable growth. She leads the Boomer Marketing and Business Development Circle, where she facilitates peer-driven conversations and surfaces patterns from top-performing firms.
Jillian Berry is the senior director of StrongHer Money at RFG Advisory.
StrongHer Money is a purpose-built program for RFG advisors looking to increase engagement and deepen relationships with women clients by enhancing how they attract, win and serve women at all life stages.
Mary Delaney is CEO of Karbon, where she works closely with accounting firms to optimize their operations through technology. She has over 20 years of experience driving growth, transformation and innovation in B2B software who brings unique insight into how firms can streamline workflows, improve collaboration and leverage connected ecosystems to drive efficiency and growth.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.