U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Shareen Minor is chief revenue officer, U.S., at Vitesse, financial infrastructure connecting the global insurance ecosystem. With more than 20 years of experience across carriers, TPA operations and PE-backed insurtechs, she leads Vitesse's commercial growth in the United States, bringing deep knowledge of the operational and financial pressures facing the U.S. insurance market.
Most recently, Shareen served as chief revenue officer at Ontellus, a leading provider of health records retrieval and claims intelligence, where she delivered sustained double-digit revenue growth, expanded enterprise client relationships across carriers and law firms, and helped position the business for a successful private equity exit. Before that, she held senior leadership roles including chief commercial officer at Charles Taylor Adjusting and Technical Services, SVP of Casualty Operations at Engle Martin and Associates, and regional vice president at NatGen Premier, where she helped launch and scale a new business unit from zero to $50 million in revenue in 15 months.
Michael Topol is co-founder and co-CEO of MGT Insurance (MGT), an insurer modernizing commercial P&C insurance for businesses and their agents.
Allen Meyer is a partner and global regulatory compliance practice leader at Oliver Wyman.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.