U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
David Lingerfelt is senior director of indirect tax at Avalara. He is a tax attorney specializing in indirect taxes. He worked as a government tax administrator for seventeen years before joining Avalara. His regulatory experience includes auditing, tax controversy, collections, taxpayer education, and compliance documents processing.
Alex Loewenstein is the general manager of Paro for CPA Firms at Paro.
Shaun Spearmon helps clients successfully transform their organizations and accelerate the implementation of their most strategic objectives. For more than 15 years he has led strategic planning, process improvement and change management initiatives with clients across industries, including technology, aerospace, pharmaceuticals, retail and financial services. Most recently he developed and led the change management and communication strategy for Global Store Development at Starbucks. Shaun is a firm believer in the power of servant leadership and its ability to create excellence in individuals and produce extraordinary results for organizations. He earned his MBA from the University of Washington's Foster School of Business where he pursued dual concentrations in Strategy and Organizational Development and holds a BA in Business Administration from Morehouse College. Shaun is based out of Seattle, WA.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.