U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Deb Seidman has over 25 years' experience working to enhance the effectiveness of leaders and their organizations, enabling them to execute their business strategy. She has worked with clients across a range of industries including financial services, pharmaceuticals, technology, government, and non-profit. Throughout her career, both in corporate operating roles and as an external consultant and coach, she has partnered with clients to gain insight into business challenges and opportunities, foster collaboration within and between teams, and facilitate organizational transformation. She holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Industrial and Labor Relations from Cornell University and a Master of Arts degree in Politics from New York University. She is an IAF Certified Professional Facilitator. Deb lives in New York City where she can be found at her printmaking workshop creating lithographs and woodcut prints.
Guillermo Rodriguez has occupied diverse roles over the past 20 years, from in-house corporate positions to being a self-employed consultant, and is currently serving as a virtual CFO at Summit Virtual CFO by Anders. His journey began with a major corporate job, where he had the opportunity to explore various functional departments, gaining insights into different aspects of the business, including forecasting around a significant acquisition. He later became a virtual CFO within the cannabis industry, helping guide cannabis operators down the path of profitability.
Shane Hamby is the vice president of products at Stampli, the leader in AI-powered accounts payable automation and payment services.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.