U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Kristen A. Gray is EY Americas sustainability tax leader. She has nearly 20 years of experience helping multinational companies address complex tax issues, including transactions and strategic planning, controversy and global compliance and reporting matters. She provides strategic counsel to clients around the intersection of tax and environmental, social and governance matters. Prior to her current role, she served as a partner in the national tax accounting and risk advisory services practice, focusing on life sciences, technology and media clients.
Jim Davis is vice president of insurance at Geotab, where he leads insurance, risk management, insurtech programs and business development. His 30-year career includes commercial P&C insurance company, brokerage and captive program management. At the forefront of video telematics, his experience and wide range of knowledge also includes driver safety, scoring and learning management systems.
Ben Malka joined Cota in 2019 as a Partner on the investment team, where he is focused on sourcing, evaluating, executing, and governance of venture investments. Prior to Cota, Ben was a General Partner at F-Prime Capital, a San Francisco-based financial technology and enterprise IT-focused venture capital fund. At F-Prime, he served as lead partner for a number of investments.
Since 1999, Ben has also served as a General Partner at North Hill Ventures, a financial technology focused venture capital fund. Previously, Ben was with The Boston Consulting Group, where he was the Project Lead for a number of clients across strategy development, acquisition strategy, new product evaluation, and operations improvement. He began his career at Bank of America as a Statistical Analyst.
Ben received a Bachelor of Arts in Economics and Political Science from Stanford University and a MBA from the University of Chicago.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.