U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Don Powell is the former chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and a longtime bank CEO.
Kevin Abramson is president of Cover Whale, a leading commercial-trucking insurer and fast-growing insurtech.
With more than two decades of underwriting and management experience in the insurance industry, including at Gen Re, Swiss Re and TigerRisk Partners, Abramson prioritizes using technology to address risk and make the world safer. At Cover Whale, his focus is on establishing and executing the company's go-to-market strategy, as well as building internal culture, attracting best-in-class talent and managing relationships with investors, partners, carriers and policyholders.
Abramson holds a Bachelor of Science degree from Villanova University and an MBA from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.
Kit Dickinson is an operations executive at ADP, leading ADP's industry-focused efforts in the construction industry. Previously, he was the president of IDI, where he was responsible for managing strategic partnerships, product innovation, sales, marketing and overall company leadership. IDI was acquired by ADP in 2021, and he now oversees the integration of IDI's capabilities into ADP technology.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.