U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Caleb Jenkins began his career at RLJ Financial Services and leads the outsourced tax planning & business accounting services team. He has been recognized as a Top Up-N-Comer ProAdvisor and Top 40 Under 40 in the accounting profession, and serves on numerous councils including the Intuit ProConnect Customer Tax Council and the ADP Accountants Advisory Board. Reach him via email at caleb@rljfinancial.com.
Stephen W. Hall currently serves as the legal director and securities specialist for Better Markets. He joined Better Markets in January of 2011, bringing extensive experience in securities and commodities regulation acquired through positions in the federal government, private practice and the nonprofit sector.
In addition to overseeing legal activities, including litigation matters and amicus briefs on behalf of Better Markets, he is heavily involved in the preparation of regulatory analysis, comment letters on proposed rules, and special reports on topics related to financial regulation and enforcement.
Lori Daugherty is Chief Executive Officer at Ascellus where she provides analytical decision-making, strategic planning and executive leadership. As CEO with more than 30 years of experience, she is focused on developing best practices for organizational processes, performance measurement systems and building Ascellus’ infrastructure to maximize the company’s growth.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.