States see $31B of taxes disappear due to COVID recession

Revenue dropped 6 percent as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.

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Jeff is a founding member of Informed Consulting. He has 25+ plus years of employee benefits experience working with enterprise employers, digital health companies, health plans, insurance carriers, InsureTech, HCM, and financial wellness companies. 

 Via Informed Consulting, Jeff served as the CRO (Seed Round, Series A, and Series B) at Nayya. He held various sales leadership positions in 12 years at Benefitfocus, a benefits administration company. At Benefitfocus, Jeff developed an ecosystem distribution market for early-stage digital health and financial wellness companies. Prior to Benefitfocus, Jeff worked for health plans and insurance carriers for 13 years.

 Jeff was named by Employee Benefits Advisor as “30 Benefit Thought Leaders to Know” and “30 People to watch in Benefits 2017”. Jeff has been featured in CNBC, Inc Magazine, Forbes, Employee Benefits News, US News and World Report, SHRM Magazine, and numerous other publications.

Julia Hu is an American entrepreneur and the co-founder and CEO of Lark. Founded on the personal experience of having grown up with an undiagnosed chronic condition, Julia is passionate about bringing compassionate care to those preventing or managing chronic disease. Hu was named to Business Insider’s 30 Under 40 Changing Healthcare list and was awarded as a member of the UCSF Health Awards Hall of Fame in 2021, as well as the EY Entrepreneurial Winning Women™ North America Class of 2021. Prior to founding Lark in 2011, Julia ran global startup incubator, the Clean Tech Open, built a sustainable construction startup, and was an Entrepreneur-in-Residence at Stanford’s StartX incubator. She is on the board of the Council for Diabetes Prevention and a Singularity University faculty member. Hu received her Master’s and Bachelor’s degrees at Stanford University and half of an MBA from MIT Sloan before founding Lark.

Bernie Dyme is president and CEO of Perspectives LTD, a behavioral health firm committed to delivering high-quality employee assistance programs, behavioral health, and organizational consulting services.  

He is passionate about ending the stigma attached to mental health ensuring that everyone in companies has full access to mental health services and also focuses on prevention and early intervention.  He is an active member of more than a dozen professional and community organizations that work toward his passion of bringing resources to all employees and organizations to ensure full access to help. These include the Employee Assistance Professionals Association (EAPA), the Society of Human Resource Professionals (SHRM), and the Executives Club of Chicago. He is also the Chair of the Advisory Council of The Crown Family School of Social Work, Policy and Practice at the University of Chicago. He is the past president of the Board of Directors for the Chicago Coalition for the Homeless and is currently an active member of the Board.  

Bernie is a licensed clinical social worker (LCSW). He has his master’s degree in social work from the University of Chicago. 

The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.

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A boarded up Isabel Marant store closed in the SoHo neighborhood of New York.
Bloomberg News

The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.

Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.

“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.