U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Jay Meschke is President of CBIZ Talent & Compensation Solutions and the executive search firm EFL Associates. Jay registers 29 years of experience in the retained executive search field, recruiting C-Suite executives for multiple industries and across a variety of functional disciplines. His portfolio of search assignments exceeds 750 projects and he leads an organization that ranks in the Top 40 out of 2,500 retained executive search firms.
Zana Tomich is co-founding partner of Dalton & Tomich PLC, based in Detroit, and provides outside general counsel services to her clients, including experience representing CPA firms.
Ben Madick is the Co-founder and CEO of Matic Insurance, a digital P&C insurance marketplace. Founded in 2014, Matic’s insurance platform has over 40 A-rated home and auto carriers, as well as distribution partners in industries ranging from mortgage origination and servicing to banking, real estate, auto companies, and more. Prior to Matic, Ben co-founded MQMR, a firm that performs compliance risk management and audit support to mortgage lenders and banks.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.