States see $31B of taxes disappear due to COVID recession

Revenue dropped 6 percent as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.

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Brian C. Tate is president and CEO of the Innovative Payments Association.

A native Marylander, Brian is a graduate of the Howard University School of Law and is licensed to practice in the state of Maryland and the U.S. Supreme Court. In addition, Brian has an M.A. in political management from The George Washington University, and a B.A. in political science from King's College (Pa.). Brian was also a White House intern during the Clinton administration in 1996.

After graduating from law school in 2004, Brian first started working in the financial services sector when he began working as an advocate for the credit union industry. During his time with the credit unions, Brian held the position of vice president for legislative affairs (MDDCUA) and director of state advocacy (CUNA).

In 2009, Brian joined the Financial Services Roundtable as vice president of banking. At FSR, Brian represented banks, card issuers and networks, asset management and insurance companies. Further, Brian led FSR efforts on interchange fees, orderly liquidation authority, fiduciary duty and retirement security. Work with member companies to develop public policy agenda and advocacy strategies on a wide range of issues before the administration, Congress and regulatory agencies.

Brian Tate currently resides in Silver Spring, Maryland, with his wife and three children.

Rochelle Thielen is chief revenue officer for HONK Technologies. She previously served as CEO of Estify and in leadership roles on the APD teams within Mitchell International and Solera.

Mike Watson is SVP and head of RIA custody for Axos Advisor Services.

The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.

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A boarded up Isabel Marant store closed in the SoHo neighborhood of New York.
Bloomberg News

The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.

Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.

“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.