U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Steve Abbott is head of public policy and government affairs at Gusto.
Agim Emruli has over 20 years of experience in software development, architecture, and leadership, working with different technology-oriented companies in various industries, such as finance, banking, insurance, government, healthcare, and retail. He is passionate about creating and delivering innovative and scalable solutions that address complex business challenges and enhance customer experience. As the CEO of Flowable, he leads the development and growth of the open-source Intelligent Business Automation platform that combines case, process, and decision support into a single solution. He also oversees the strategic direction and operations of Mimacom, a global software development and consulting company with a focus on agile methodologies and web services.
Rebecca Liebman is co-founder & CEO of LearnLux, the leading workplace financial well-being provider.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.